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Clinton widens Pa. lead in new Quinnipiac poll

A new Quinnipiac University poll finds that Hillary Clinton has widened her lead against Donald Trump in Pennsylvania.

The college’s poll of 660 likely voters between Oct. 10 to 16 found Clinton leads Trump 47 to 41 percent, with 6 percent for Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Jill Stein.

In the college’s Oct. 3 poll, Clinton was leading Trump 45 to 41 percent.

In particular it appears that independent likely voters in Pennsylvania are tilting increasingly towards Clinton. The poll found that group favored her over Trump by 44 percent to 36 percent in its latest poll compared to 38 percent to 35 percent it its Oct. 3 poll.

Quinnipiac found that shift towards Clinton in Pennsylvania was mirrored in other swing states that it polled at the same time:

  • Colorado: Clinton leads Trump 45 to 37 percent, with 10 percent for Johnson and 3 percent for Stein. (Clinton lead Trump 44 to 42 percent on Sept. 22)
  • Florida: Clinton leads Trump 48 to 44 percent, with 4 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. (Clinton lead Trump 46 to 41 percent on percent Oct. 3)
  • Ohio: Trump and Clinton are tied 45 to 45 percent, with 6 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. (Trump led Clinton 47 to 42 percent Oct. 3)

In a statement, Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said Clinton appeared to have held or increased her lead following the second debate.

“Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump’s behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column,” he said. 
Florida and Pennsylvania are particularly crucial for Trump’s presidential bid. Brown said it’s unlikely Trump can win if he loses either of them.

Quinnipiac University’s poll used live interviewers who called both landlines and cellphones of likely voters. Its margin of error is 3.8 percent for Pennsylvania and Florida, 3.9 percent for Ohio, and 3.7 percent for Colorado. 

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